Even factoring in that Manchester City have conceded eight goals in their last five Premier League games and are without a win in four matches, Hull City's chances of emerging from Saturday's game at the Etihad with a point seem extremely slim. The Tigers are without a goal in over 400 minutes of football, although that shouldn't continue too much longer if they persist with the direct 4-4-2 formation that has provided a glimmer of optimism for their tactical future.
However, if they are to spring a major upset, set-pieces will be their way forward. Man City have conceded six goals in their last five Premier League games, and four of these have resulted from free-kicks or corners.
With a rusty-looking Vincent Kompany still recovering from injury and Eliaquim Managala's confidence as fragile as ever, an absence of leadership has lead to an acute vulnerability from set-plays.
Both Burnley and Sunderland scored a set-piece goal against Man City, exploiting their aerial problems.
To correct this issue, Manuel Pellegrini will be hoping that Kompany – who looked more comfortable in the 1-1 draw with Chelsea – is returning to his usual commanding form.
However, if he is not up to scratch, then Hull will be hopeful that the height and power of Curtis Davies (4.5 aerial duels won per match) can – against the odds – cause the home side problems.
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