Sunderland's big-team plan and Spurs' surprise iron man
ZonalMarking.net's Michael Cox uses the StatsZone app â from FFT and Opta, available now â to preview the best of the weekend's FA Cup action...
The only all-Premier League tie in the FA Cup this weekend sees Arsenal travelling up to Sunderland for the second consecutive weekend, after Thierry HenryâÂÂs late winner snatched a 2-1 victory at the Stadium of Light last Saturday.
FIXTURES(click team name for web-wide club news feed): Sat 18 Feb 12.30pmChelseav Birmingham City (Live on ESPN) 3pmEvertonv Blackpool;Norwich Cityv Leicester City; Millwall vBolton Wanderers5.15pmSunderlandvArsenal(Live on ITV)Sun 19 Feb 12noon Crawley Town vStoke City(Live on ESPN) 2pmStevenage vTottenham Hotspur(Live on ITV)4.30pmLiverpoolv Brighton & Hove Albion (Live on ESPN)
Arsenal would usually be expected to dominate possession in this meeting, but last weekendâÂÂs statistics were particularly surprising. Sunderland attempted only 149 passes in the opposition half, fewer than any other side that weekend, while Mikel Arteta became the first Arsenal player this season to attempt more than 100 passes in one game.
Martin OâÂÂNeillâÂÂs approach against big teams is to sit very deep â and though it didnâÂÂt completely work last weekend, the pattern of passes played in the final third by both teams shows that Arsenal struggled to play passes to a position on the edge of the âÂÂDâÂÂ. Sunderland focused more on long balls.
Birmingham versus Chelsea isnâÂÂt an all-Premier League tie â but it was last season, and at St Andrews Birmingham recorded one of the most unlikely Premier League victories of 2011/12.
The home side recorded just three shots in that game; two were blocked, the other was a cool finish by Lee Bowyer past Petr Cech for the gameâÂÂs only goal. Amazingly, Birmingham managed to keep a clean sheet despite 32 Chelsea shots.
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The task this weekend will be much more difficult, not least because Birmingham are now a Championship club â but also because this game is at Stamford Bridge, where they lost last season. But with last yearâÂÂs experience, plus Chelsea in a poor run of form and Birmingham unbeaten, could this fixture be a potential shock?
FEATURE, Fri 17 Feb: Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal set for FA Cup trouble â Jon Champion
We can also look to last season for a previous Everton versus Blackpool fixture â and a very fine one in which Everton ran out 5-3 winners. No Premier League match last season saw more than eight goals, and only two other games equalled it.
However, most of the goalscorers from that day have been transferred away â Louis Saha and Jermaine Beckford were the contributors to EvertonâÂÂs five, while LiverpoolâÂÂs Charlie Adam and SouthamptonâÂÂs Jason Puncheon were on target for Blackpool. Only Alex Baptiste remains, and is likely to start at the back for Blackpool.
StevenageTottenham is likely to be billed as a potential giantkilling, but Spurs are in a good run of form and won 5-0 against Newcastle last weekend. While the attackers inevitably got most of the credit for that performance, Tottenham also competed well in midfield, where the duo of Scott Parker and Luka Modric won 10 of their 12 attempted tackles throughout the game.
ParkerâÂÂs tenacity is an obvious part of his game, but Modric is a much better player defensively than often given credit for, and itâÂÂs unlikely that the two will be bullied by the physical power of a lower league midfield.
FEATURE, Fri 17 Feb: Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal set for FA Cup trouble â Jon Champion
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