Euro 2024 supercomputer predicts who will win tournament - and there's a clear favourite

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Euro 2024 is just around the corner, and a supercomputer has determined which side will be lifting the trophy in July

The European Championship trophy at the Olympiastadion, Berlin
(Image credit: Getty Images)

A Euro 2024 supercomputer has predicted the winner of the tournament in Germany. 

England and France are the bookmakers' favourites heading into Euro 2024, with Germany also given a good chance of going all the way at their home tournament. 

During the March internationals, fans were given a clearer indication as to how each of those nations might perform in the summer. Indeed, France lost 2-0 to Germany before beating Chile 3-2 on Tuesday night, while England lost to Brazil and only managed to draw with Belgium after Jude Bellingham scored a last-minute equaliser.

Germany, meanwhile, followed up that victory against France by beating the Netherlands. 

Jude Bellingham of England celebrates scoring his team's second goal during the international friendly match between England and Belgium at Wembley Stadium on March 26, 2024 in London, England. (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images) Euro 2024

England are favourites, according to the supercomputer (Image credit: Getty Images)

Despite that, the OCB Scores supercomputer still predicts that England will be lifting the European Championships trophy come July 14, with Gareth Southgate's side given a 34.4 per cent chance of Euro 2024 victory.

France are second-favourites, according to the supercomputer, with a 28.3 per cent chance of winning it, while Germany are given just 13.5 per cent chance.

Calculated using historical data, odds and predicted models, the supercomputer also takes into account factors such as previous tournament performance and home advantage. It's somewhat surprising, therefore, to see holders Italy with just a 0.8 per cent chance of retaining the trophy.

Giorgio Chiellini, Captain of Italy lifts The Henri Delaunay Trophy following his team's victory in the UEFA Euro 2020 Championship Final between Italy and England at Wembley Stadium on July 11, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Michael Regan/UEFA via Getty Images) Euro 2024

Italy aren't given a chance to retain their trophy (Image credit: Getty Images)

A spokesperson for OCB Scores said: “Despite looking less than convincing during the international break, England remain the favourites to win Euro 2024 ahead of serial winners France and Germany.

“The Supercomputer is simulated 1,000 times to account for anomalous results and ensure accuracy, so Gareth Southgate’s men can confidently enter the tournament as favourites.

“Germany had a strong international break, beating France and the Netherlands in March, so they are certainly ones to watch given how the vociferous home crowd will get behind their heroes when they begin their campaign against Scotland on June 14.”

Euro 2024 win possibility

OCB Scores supercomputer for Euro 2024 final winner

(Image credit: OCB Scores)

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Ryan Dabbs
Ryan Dabbs
Staff writer

Ryan is a staff writer for FourFourTwo, joining the team full-time in October 2022. He first joined Future in December 2020, working across FourFourTwo, Golf Monthly, Rugby World and Advnture's websites, before eventually earning himself a position with FourFourTwo permanently. After graduating from Cardiff University with a degree in Journalism and Communications, Ryan earned a NCTJ qualification to further develop as a writer while a Trainee News Writer at Future.