It's coming home? Supercomputer predicts the percentage chance England have of winning Euro 2024

Gareth Southgate stood next to the European Championship trophy
(Image credit: Getty Images)

England have cause for optimism heading into Euro 2024 and a supercomputer has named them favourites to win the tournament, with a 31.6% chance of success.

The Three Lions cruised through qualifying, finishing top of their group, six points clear of Italy and Ukraine.

They have performed well in tournaments since Gareth Southgate took charge, even reaching the final of the last Euros.

England are keen to go a step further this time and end a long wait for silverware that stretches back to 1966.

The draw for Group C of Euro 2024, featuring Slovenia, Denmark, Serbia and England

The draw for Group C of Euro 2024, featuring Slovenia, Denmark, Serbia and England (Image credit: Getty Images)

According to KingCasinoBonus’ Supercomputer, that drought could finally be coming to an end next summer.

Following the draw for the group stages on Saturday, their data analysts crunched the numbers to work out every country's odds of success.

England emerged as the leading contenders at 31.6%, closely followed by France, who reached last year's World Cup final, at 29.6%.

Beyond that, Germany are given a 12.9% chance of winning on home soil, with Spain and Portugal joint-fourth favourites at 9.7%.

Rudi Voller and Julian Nagelsmann prepare for the Euro 2024 draw

Rudi Voller and Julian Nagelsmann prepare for the Euro 2024 draw (Image credit: Getty Images)

Although Scotland impressed in qualifying for the tournament, they now face Germany, Hungary and Switzerland in a tough group.

Their odds of progressing to the round of 16 came out at 53.1% but they're considered highly unlikely to make it any further.

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Sean Cole
Writer

Sean Cole is a freelance journalist. He has written for FourFourTwo, BBC Sport and When Saturday Comes among others. A Birmingham City supporter and staunch Nikola Zigic advocate, he once scored a hat-trick at St. Andrew’s (in a half-time game). He also has far too many football shirts and spends far too much time reading the Wikipedia pages of obscure players.