'When you realise how much of the recruitment has been data-driven, you think, "Actually, this is an interesting experiment". It’s high risk, high reward': Chelsea transfer policy intriguing former Stamford Bridge star

Chelsea's players prepare for a group huddle ahead of kick-off in the English Premier League football match between Chelsea and Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge in London on October 6, 2024. (Photo by BENJAMIN CREMEL / AFP) / RESTRICTED TO EDITORIAL USE. No use with unauthorized audio, video, data, fixture lists, club/league logos or 'live' services. Online in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No video emulation. Social media in-match use limited to 120 images. An additional 40 images may be used in extra time. No use in betting publications, games or single club/league/player publications. / (Photo by BENJAMIN CREMEL/AFP via Getty Images)
Chelsea players huddle before kick-off (Image credit: Getty Images)

Chelsea owner Todd Boehly has faced plenty of ridicule since taking the reins at Stamford Bridge in 2022, though one former Blue believes the "high risk" transfer policy is certainly one that could work in time.

While Chelsea have spent around £1.2bn on players in transfer fees alone since Boehly's takeover two-and-a-half years ago, as well as burning through managers: Thomas Tuchel, Graham Potter, interim boss Frank Lampard, then Mauricio Pochettino, there have been some clear successes within the recruitment.

Cole Palmer is the side's standout star, while Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caiceido and a host of other expensive players have shown glimpses of their capabilities. There’s clearly been method to the madness, though, with former Chelsea winger Pat Nevin believing that one clear plan has emerged within the chaos.

Chelsea opting for a "high risk, high reward" strategy

Chelsea squad for 2024/25 LONDON, ENGLAND - SEPTEMBER 01: Cole Palmer of Chelsea controls the ball during the Premier League match between Chelsea FC and Crystal Palace FC at Stamford Bridge on September 01, 2024 in London, England. (Photo by Ryan Pierse/Getty Images)

Palmer has been the standout signing for Chelsea (Image credit: Getty Images)

“It took a number of months before I could say, ‘Oh right, OK, I know what you’re doing now’,” Nevin exclusively tells FourFourTwo. “The outline of the idea was that younger players are going to increase in value, so get them as young as possible.

“The one thing that didn’t tie up is that lots of clubs have done that before but Chelsea paid loads of money to get these players in, whereas other clubs were getting them in really cheap. Chelsea were paying £100m for some players, £25m for others, for a squad of untested talent in the Premier League.”

Such a plan required a balance to be struck between short-term success on the pitch and the development of younger players, whether they stayed at the club or moved on for financial gain.

EDINBURGH, SCOTLAND - AUGUST 15: Scottish retired footballer and author Pat Nevin attends a photocall during the Edinburgh International Book Festival 2021 on August 15, 2021 in Edinburgh, Scotland. (Photo by Roberto Ricciuti/Getty Images) Chelsea winger

Former Chelsea winger Pat Nevin (Image credit: Getty Images)

“You’ve got to give this sort of plan at least two years,” Nevin says. “There were players coming in who were 17, 18, 19, 20, who had never played in England and had never played with each other. It’s a lot to take on board.

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“But when you realise how much of the recruitment has been data-driven, you think, ‘Actually, this is an interesting experiment’. Others have previously used data in that way – Liverpool, Spurs, Brighton – but this has been an extreme version of it. And it’s high risk, because if you give people contracts of six, seven or eight years, not all of them will improve at the rate you expect, although you only need a percentage of them to do that.

"Also, if you’re making 19-year-old lads into millionaires, how many will remain hungry, especially if they’re not getting game time? It’s high risk, high reward.”

Ryan Dabbs
Staff writer

Ryan is a staff writer for FourFourTwo, joining the team full-time in October 2022. He first joined Future in December 2020, working across FourFourTwo, Golf Monthly, Rugby World and Advnture's websites, before eventually earning himself a position with FourFourTwo permanently. After graduating from Cardiff University with a degree in Journalism and Communications, Ryan earned a NCTJ qualification to further develop as a writer while a Trainee News Writer at Future. 

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